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	<title>Swingin&#039; A&#039;s &#187; analysis</title>
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		<title>Will You Watch Moneyball?</title>
		<link>http://swinginas.com/2011/09/13/will-you-watch-moneyball/</link>
		<comments>http://swinginas.com/2011/09/13/will-you-watch-moneyball/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Sep 2011 01:36:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph Lopez</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2002 Oakland Athletics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[A's]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[A's front office]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Sorkin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baseball movie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Billy Beane]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brad Pitt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hollywood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jonah Hill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Lewis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Moneyball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Moneyball Michael Lewis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[movies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oakland A's]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Brand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sabermetrics]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Since the A&#8217;s won&#8217;t be making any playoff push this month, A&#8217;s fans can turn their undivided attention to the release of Brad Pitt&#8217;s movie adaptation of the critically acclaimed Michael Lewis book, Moneyball. Pitt, who portrays A&#8217;s GM Billy Beane, remained attached to the movie project for what seems like forever, and despite some [...]</p><p><a href="http://swinginas.com/2011/09/13/will-you-watch-moneyball/">Will You Watch Moneyball?</a> - <a href="http://swinginas.com">Swingin&#039; A&#039;s</a> - <a href="http://swinginas.com">Swingin&#039; A&#039;s - An Oakland Athletics Fan Site - News, Blogs, Opinion and More</a></p>]]></description>
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<p>Since the A&#8217;s won&#8217;t be making any playoff push this month, A&#8217;s fans can turn their undivided attention to the release of Brad Pitt&#8217;s movie adaptation of the critically acclaimed Michael Lewis book, <em>Moneyball. </em>Pitt, who portrays A&#8217;s GM Billy Beane, remained attached to the movie project for what seems like forever, and despite some early up&#8217;s and down&#8217;s, the movie is finally a reality.</p>
<p><em>Moneyball </em>follows the cash-strapped Athletics as they try to find a way to win despite having one of baseball&#8217;s lowest payrolls. It&#8217;s a story that many baseball fans have learned to love, and I&#8217;m pretty sure it&#8217;s a story that&#8217;s had a profound impact on the game of baseball. The book itself dealt a lot with economics, statistics (sabermetrics), and other elements that may not appeal to the general public, or non-baseball fan.</p>
<p>The movie version, however, does not deal with those aspects of the story as closely, but instead turns its focus onto Billy Beane himself. Beane gets a lot of credit for putting together perennial playoff contenders during the early 2000&#8242;s despite having a very limited budget. He used sabermetric principles to run his team in a very cost-effecitve manner, and really had a profound effect on the game. <a href="http://swinginas.com/2011/09/13/will-you-watch-moneyball/#more-3027" class="more-link">(more&#8230;)</a></p>
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		<title>A&#8217;s Analysis: Bullpen</title>
		<link>http://swinginas.com/2010/03/24/as-analysis-bullpen/</link>
		<comments>http://swinginas.com/2010/03/24/as-analysis-bullpen/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Mar 2010 19:45:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph Lopez</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[A's]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prediction/Preview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2010]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Bailey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brad Kilby]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brad Ziegler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joey Devine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Wuertz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opening Day]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swinginas.com/?p=410</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>If the A&#8217;s are going to have any success in 2010, it&#8217;s going to come from strong starting pitching and a lights-out bullpen. The A&#8217;s have arguably the best bullpen in the American League, and possibly in all of the baseball. The A&#8217;s bullpen should be the A&#8217;s biggest strength heading into this season. Earlier [...]</p><p><a href="http://swinginas.com/2010/03/24/as-analysis-bullpen/">A&#8217;s Analysis: Bullpen</a> - <a href="http://swinginas.com">Swingin&#039; A&#039;s</a> - <a href="http://swinginas.com">Swingin&#039; A&#039;s - An Oakland Athletics Fan Site - News, Blogs, Opinion and More</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the A&#8217;s are going to have any success in 2010, it&#8217;s going to come from strong starting pitching and a lights-out bullpen. The A&#8217;s have arguably the best bullpen in the American League, and possibly in all of the baseball. The A&#8217;s bullpen should be the A&#8217;s biggest strength heading into this season.</p>
<p>Earlier this month, I examined the A&#8217;s starting rotation and offered my opinions on each starter. In this post, however, the attention is turned on the A&#8217;s stellar cast of relievers. Along with their 2009 stats, I&#8217;ve included my own projected numbers for each member of the A&#8217;s &#8216;pen. Enjoy!</p>
<p><strong>Andrew Bailey (6-3, 26 Saves, 1.84 ERA, 83.1 IP, 91 SO, 24 BB)</strong></p>
<p>Bailey surprised pretty much everyone in the baseball world last year. Considered a long-shot to make the team last spring, Bailey seized the opportunity the A&#8217;s gave him after closer Joey Devine went down. He was named the 2009 American League Rookie of the Year after he went 6-3, with 26 saves and a 1.84 ERA. In 83.1 innings, Bailey struck out 91 batters and walked just 24.</p>
<p>In 2010, Bailey should continue his dominance of opposing offenses. Last season batters managed to hit just .191 against him. So, I&#8217;d expect many hitters to still struggle against a power pitcher like Bailey. This season, I think we&#8217;re going to see similar numbers from Bailey. There&#8217;s no question about it. Bailey is now a top-10 closer in the big leagues.</p>
<p><strong>2010 Projection:</strong></p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="75" valign="top">Player</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">W</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">L</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">SV</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">IP</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">SO</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">BB</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">ERA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="75" valign="top">Bailey, A</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">6</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">2</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">32</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">78.2</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">85</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">25</td>
<td width="75" valign="top">2.62</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p> </p>
<p><strong>Michael Wuertz (6-1, 5 Saves, 78.2 IP, 102 SO, 23 BB, 2.63 ERA)</strong></p>
<p>Needless to say, the 31-year old Wuertz experienced his finest season last year. In his first year with Oakland, Wuertz was exceptional out of the &#8216;pen, and as a result was a frequent trade rumor during last season&#8217;s deadline. But, Oakland values his talent and have recently rewarded him with a tw0-year contract. Wuertz tossed 78 plus innings of quality baseball, and as a result batters hit just .188 against the veteran. </p>
<p>In 2010, Wuertz should continue his solid performance out of the A&#8217;s bullpen. Like Bailey, I see Wuertz finishing up the 2010 season with numbers similar to his &#8217;09 season.</p>
<p><strong>2010 Projection:</strong></p>
<table style="width: 554px; height: 35px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="554">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="79" valign="top">Player</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">W</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">L</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">SV</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">IP</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">SO</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">BB</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">ERA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="79" valign="top">Wuertz, M</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">4</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">1</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">3</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">71.2</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">82</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">24</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">3.03</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p> </p>
<p><strong>Joey Devine (Did not pitch in 2009)</strong></p>
<p>Although Devine did not pitch in 2009, you can still take a look at his 2008 numbers and get an indication as to what type of player he really is. In 2008 with the A&#8217;s, Devine posted a 0.59 ERA in 45.2 innings. He also notched 6 wins and 1 save. After his lights-out 2008 season, Devine was projected to be the A&#8217;s closer in 2009. However, surgery prevented Devine from pitching at all in 2009.</p>
<p>So far this spring, Devine has been making some improvements in his health. He&#8217;s experienced a few minor setbacks, but they should not prevent Devine from being ready come April. It&#8217;s still unknown as whether or not he&#8217;ll be ready by Opening Day, but he should be ready sometime in April. A healthy Devine would do wonders for the A&#8217;s bullpen that includes some talented arms.</p>
<p><strong>2010 Projection:</strong></p>
<table style="width: 551px; height: 37px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="551">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="79" valign="top">Player</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">W</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">L</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">SV</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">IP</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">SO</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">BB</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">ERA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="79" valign="top">Devine, J</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">5</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">2</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">4</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">58.2</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">64</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">20</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">3.33</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p> </p>
<p><strong>Brad Ziegler (2-4, 7 Saves, 73.1 IP, 54 SO, 28 BB, 3.07 ERA)</strong></p>
<p>After posting an ERA of 1.06, and recording 11 saves in 2008, Ziegler&#8217;s run as the A&#8217;s closer came to an end in 2009. Andrew Bailey emerged and took over as closer, and Ziegler shifted over to role of middle-reliever.</p>
<p>However, despite Ziegler was able to keep his ERA relatively low, opponents hit him pretty hard. Opponents managed to hit a scorching .293 off Ziegler, which was extremely unimpressive on Ziegler&#8217;s part. Ziegler isn&#8217;t the type of pitcher who is going to pile up the strikeouts, so it&#8217;s important for him to keep the ball low and induce ground balls for outs. In 2009, Zielger experienced an inflation in most of his numbers, but I think he can still be a reliable reliever in 2010.</p>
<p><strong>2010 Projection:</strong></p>
<table style="width: 551px; height: 33px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="551">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="79" valign="top">Player</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">W</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">L</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">SV</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">IP</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">SO</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">BB</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">ERA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="79" valign="top">Ziegler, B</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">4</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">2</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">2</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">69.1</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">42</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">28</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">3.86</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><strong>Craig Breslow (7-5, 55.1 IP, 44 SO, 18 BB, 2.60 ERA)*with the A&#8217;s</strong></p>
<p>Breslow was a pleasant surprise for the A&#8217;s, and pitched well for Oakland in 2009. Once he arrived in Oakland, Breslow put together a season that included 7 wins, and an opponent batting average of just .191. In 2010, Breslow should continue to contribute to the A&#8217;s impressive cast of relievers.</p>
<p><strong>2010 Projection:</strong></p>
<table style="width: 552px; height: 34px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="552">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="79" valign="top">Player</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">W</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">L</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">SV</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">IP</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">SO</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">BB</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">ERA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="79" valign="top">Breslow, C</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">6</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">5</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">1</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">62.1</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">50</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">29</td>
<td width="79" valign="top">2.84</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p> </p>
<p>Also included in the A&#8217;s bullpen: Jerry Blevins (4.84 ERA) and Brad Kilby (0.53 ERA). Both should help contribute to the A&#8217;s bullpen.</p>
<p>If the A&#8217;s have one strength, it&#8217;s their bullpen. In 2010, the A&#8217;s will have one of the best bullpens in the American League. Mark my words.</p>
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